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Vietnam may need to raise rates to support currency, IMF says
Vietnam may need to increase interest rates to bolster a weakening currency and slow credt growth, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) told government officials yesterday.
The IMF and the World Bank, in remarks Monday at a conference in the Central Highlands town of Buon Ma Thuot, also suggested that Vietnam phase out subsidies to bank lending as “rapid” credit growth threatens to stoke inflation.
The State Bank of Vietnam’s benchmark interest rate has been held at 7 percent since February, after being cut from 14 percent in October. The Vietnamese dong traded Monday at VND17,789 per dollar, down from VND17,483 at the end of 2008.
While focusing Vietnam’s monetary policy on supporting growth earlier in the year was warranted, moves such as the cutting of rates, an easing of fiscal policy and an interest-rate subsidy program may jeopardize the nation’s economic stability, the IMF said.
“Some tightening of monetary policy is needed to rein in credit growth, which has started to increase again, and provide greater support to the dong,” the IMF said.
“This tightening would best initially be achieved by monetary operations to rein in dong liquidity and through an accelerated phasing out of the current interest subsidy schemes,” the Washington-based agency said. “But an adjustment in policy rates may be needed if credit expansion continues to accelerate.”